An excellent and revealing exploration by a Nobel Prize-winner of the state of knowledge about how and why we do and don’t make good judgements in circumstances of uncertainty - in other words, most of the time. (Which also quite incidentally illustrated to me why Scapple is a useful tool.)
Hugh, did you mean to include a link with this note? Who is the NP winner?
Oops, sorry - Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman at the Woodrow Wilson School. (Is that in your neck of the woods, druid? I can’t remember.)
He won the Nobel Memorial Prize for Economics in 2002, which, as pedants (like me) will know, isn’t one of your 24-carat, established-by-Mr-Nobel, original Nobel prizes. But never mind - he did it with just two papers, and addressed issues that are absolutely fundamental to making economics as a discipline make sense, and should have been explored years ago. Some of that’s in the book.
In fact, he was a near neighbor, until he moved to New York.
And duh, I did read his book. Stuck in slow thinking mode today.
I strongly echo your endorsement.